Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 998.057511 1124.236591 1261.869176 1423.405122 1608.136942 1813.186885 2058.563558
2026-01-11 803.606407 974.606630 1176.928239 1435.108684 1757.436178 2148.670426 2662.691181
2026-01-18 693.120638 883.097172 1120.492174 1441.204297 1866.619082 2416.353487 3188.294247
2026-01-25 626.399454 830.773760 1097.834001 1476.038122 2003.764561 2722.734202 3791.369375
2026-02-01 571.331689 784.056906 1072.848483 1498.786119 2119.855648 3006.163457 4391.621668
2026-02-08 523.780374 740.654160 1045.144728 1510.721376 2216.830641 3267.510726 4986.993995
2026-02-15 485.440110 705.292033 1023.529792 1526.427020 2317.260831 3540.510487 5630.156347
2026-02-22 456.311569 679.851198 1012.751867 1555.312647 2438.149447 3854.884872 6376.505855
2026-03-01 415.685046 632.884642 964.382652 1519.347435 2449.720139 3991.847630 6838.394097
2026-03-08 377.557533 586.238839 911.924784 1470.691248 2433.469099 4077.739199 7217.341174
2026-03-15 344.404860 544.606967 863.619385 1423.630192 2413.730661 4153.102685 7582.952399
2026-03-22 332.673426 536.589190 868.957924 1467.243580 2555.413993 4527.725263 8558.824973
2026-03-29 316.430114 520.219434 859.715020 1485.880012 2656.636397 4844.580589 9477.362550
2026-04-05 299.965265 502.190095 846.174490 1495.595015 2742.569318 5143.089706 10404.392629
2026-04-12 284.574059 484.687612 831.881194 1502.103989 2822.236744 5437.203311 11363.408793
2026-04-19 275.048695 476.700822 833.664862 1538.565796 2963.748066 5871.093893 12692.457565
2026-04-26 264.443071 465.877688 829.259703 1562.383743 3081.828252 6269.693384 14002.541013
2026-05-03 253.147489 452.889460 819.692158 1574.880896 3177.360597 6630.767008 15280.225444
2026-05-10 243.218211 441.683290 812.522356 1591.326703 3282.615030 7025.151712 16701.665840
2026-05-17 235.642217 434.359295 812.168735 1621.575796 3420.808685 7510.353196 18432.350587
2026-05-24 220.894660 412.139462 780.912021 1583.913374 3403.362888 7631.109495 19229.258645
2026-05-31 205.863205 388.380997 744.913356 1532.968082 3350.349311 7660.522830 19784.024763
2026-06-07 192.140144 366.368691 710.967410 1483.700826 3296.392478 7681.505958 20319.730520